Round of 16 Wrap Up

Saturday, 10 March 07, 05:05 AM

Then there were 8.

Aggregate Scores:
Valencia 2 - 2 Inter (away goals)
Liverpool 2 - 2 Barcelona (away goals)
Bayern 4 - 4 Real (away goals)
Man U 2 - 0 Lille
Arsenal 1 - 2 PSV
Lyon 0 - 2 Roma
Chelsea 2 - 1 Porto
Milan 1 - 0 Celtic

Revisiting predictions is often a very humbling experience as it reveals how wrong or how badly off you were about something. Picking over the deadwood following last night's second legs, one wonders if the cream of the crop has been knocked out, replaced instead by gritty veterans, savvy of the perils of the knockout stage.

After the streetwise Valencia knocked out the arguably more talented Inter in a stranglehold in the second leg, Liverpool, Europe's most enigmatic team, produced a throughly dominant performance to knockout defending champions Barcelona. Both ties were decided on away goals. Both winners performed better at home but got the result that mattered in the away leg.

Valencia's game with Inter finished scoreless but the Spanish team had more chances and could have put the tie away. Their late goals in Milan ensured progression but it was no less than they deserved. The only blemish on a thoroughly absorbing tie was the disgusting violence that broke out at the end. UEFA should ensure David Navarro gets banned for a ridiculous piece of on field thuggery. Nicolas Burdisso must be feeling doubly sore - the pain from a broken nose adding to the disappointment of getting knocked out. Europe will be poorer with Inter's absence - although predictably their exit will be greeted with jeers in Italy who regard this as proof that Inter are getting a free run in Serie A.

Liverpool outclassed Barcelona at Anfield with ample chances to bury their visitors early. Sadly, for the second time in a week, Liverpool ended up losing despite dominating an opponent at home. Good thing that they had beaten Barcelona in Spain as they too advanced on away goals. The 2-1 away win priceless for Benitez and his men. Liverpool may still be off the pace domestically, but they have developed an impressive pedigree in Europe. Barcelona, like Inter, haven't sparkled in Europe and their start stop performances have never really convinced.

Lyon, on a slide since the start of the year, ensured they tripped when presented with their best chance of going deep in the draw. After stuttering in Rome they were clinically beaten at home by Roma. Luciano Spaletti got his tactics spot on as he ensured Lyon paid for their defensive mistakes with some efficient finishing from decent chances - Arsenal are you watching yet ? Notoriously inconsistent, Roma ensured they held firm at a crucial stage of their season. Being off form is one thing but questions must be asked of Gerrard Houllier who has taken a championship outfit and made them distinctly midtable. If talismanic midfielder Juninho and attacking presence Florent Malouda leave over the summer, Lyon's era of dominance may be truly over.

Lille out-muscled Manchester United again in a good performance on the field that doesn't deserve their childish behavior off of it. United, though have ensured this season that they take points from games despite their performance on it. They deserved their win in the tie but were run very close by Lille. The benefit of experience in your side is the presence of mind they bring when the going gets tough. Witness Giggs' smartly taken free kick in the first leg and Larsson's composed strike here. Lille have done themselves proud on the field but have let themselves down off of it. United, on the other hand, have shown that grinding out wins is not below them if the situation demands it.

Chelsea, on the other hand are the epitome of grinding out wins. Of all people, passenger of the year, Michael Ballack scored the winner after Arjen Robben drew Chelsea level. Ricardo Quaresma had scored the opener to give Porto an early lead both in the game and tie. Chelsea have come back strongly and their resilience in the Champions' League is to be admired. Jose Mourinho may claim that he is unperturbed by events on the pitch vis-a-vis his future but make no mistake - he wants to leave with Europe's top prize his, once again.

Celtic took 2003 winners Milan all the way before Kaka finally made sure one of Milan's astonishing 38 shots finally went in. Throughout the match Milan thrust but Celtic parried. Having played better in the home leg, Celtic were always up against it in Milan but they kept their more illustrious opponents at bay for almost 120 minutes. In the end it was only a moment of brilliance from one of Milan's stars that separated the two sides. That's all.

I was extremely skeptical of the fare that Real Madrid and Bayern Munich would serve up but they proved me wrong as they ensured their tie was the most absorbing. Real won the first leg 3-2 but then Bayern triumphed 2-1 in the second to go though on away goals - the third team to do so in the round. 8 goals all round with even a scuffle thrown in. Bayern's favorite midfield nuisance Mark Van Bommel tussling with Real's new nuisance - Mahamaddou Diarra. Both promptly got sent off.

Finally, Arsenal ensured that once again, they would end their Champions' League campaign earlier than it should have with a classic combination of defensive lapses and offensive impotency. Few teams in the last decade would have lost this tie to PSV having created the number of chances Arsenal did. Results have rarely mirrored performance for Arsenal and this season that discrepancy has reached an all time gap. PSV, soldiered on without doing anything special, 3 real shots on goal in 120 minutes and they go into the draw for the last eight.

Stat Wrap Up.
There are no representatives from Group G (Porto, Arsenal) and Group E (Real, Lyon) left while Group C (Liverpool, PSV) and Group D (Valencia, Roma) still have both their representatives going strong. In the 16 games, 3 were scoreless, a further 5 were 1-0 affairs and only 2 games featured more than 3 goals. Chelsea, Bayern and PSV are the only domestic champions left. 3 ties were decided on away goals. Milan, Roma and Manchester United did not concede a goal. Meanwhile Lille, Lyon and Arsenal didn't have a single goalscorer in their ranks this round. Inter went out despite not losing. 29 goals were scored in 16 games - less than 2 a game - 8 of them came in the Real-Bayern tie. Arsenal and Lyon are the only group winners who didn't make it.

Goal of the round:
Mancini's 'step'over Lyon.

Team of the round over both legs:
4-4-1-1
Gomes; Riise, Albiol, Lucio, Carragher; Silva, Deco, Cambiasso, Robben; Totti; Raul

Gracious Loser: Gerrard Houllier - he knows when he's truly beaten.

Stupid Comment: Jamie "Best night in Europe" Carragher. What about that win over Milan 2 years ago ? Stick to letting your football do the talking Carra.

Moron Award: David Navarro

Special mention for consistent Dejavu: Arsenal. Stick. ball. in. net.

Do-nothing-but-still-notch-2-goals award: Ruud Van Nistelrooy. Scrappy to the very end.

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Arsenal edge PSV, Real outslug Bayern

Friday, 23 February 07, 12:11 AM

Round of 16 - First Legs I

Remarkably Unremarkable

PSV 1 - 0 Arsenal

Arsenal's insistence on doing things the hard way was highlighted yet again as they picked a rather inopportune time to slip to their first defeat of 2007. Despite marginally outshooting their Dutch opponents overall and arguably dominating the first half they left the Philipstadion nursing a 1-0 defeat. PSV, missing half their top striking partnership in the form of an injured Jefferson Farfan, made the most of their opportunities and sealed a good win over their opponents from London. Despite leading the Eredivisie there has been a lack of imperious authority about PSV's performances since the start of the new year. This win should serve as a filip for reigniting the dominance that saw them soar in 2006 and race to a handy lead in the race for domestic honours.

On a day when their attack was a little disjointed, their talismanic rearguard came through with flying colours. Brazilians Gomes, in goal, and centre-half Alex, gave a clinic on positioning and snuffing out attacking threats as they ensured Arsenal's attack kept another clean sheet. Gomes' close range stop from Thierry Henry's turn and shot was crucial in setting the tone of the contest and he ensured that no one and nothing got past him. On the one occasion that Tomas Rosicky's shot eluded him, Carlos Salcido cleared off the line. In a nutshell that summed up the performance for Arsenal. Ronald Koeman managed to get an off colour PSV team to perform much better than the sum of it's parts. PSV might not dazzle and destroy but can make the odd period of dominance pay off in spectacular fashion. A quality oddly lacking in their opponents on the day.

Admittedly the game was unremarkable and Edison Mendez's strike, from 25 yards out, was comfortably the pick of the day's goals. Yet if Arsenal's season extinguishes itself in the next 2 weeks, games like this will surely serve to highlight their weaknesses. Their complete lack of consistent attacking inventiveness around the box has come back to haunt them time and again yet there seems to end in sight. Against Blackburn one could argue that a wall of 7 defenders around the 6 yard box made things very hard. But PSV offer more optimistic fare and there was plenty of space for Arsenal to push through. Yet the space around the backline was wasted and there was a worrying lack of urgency to the proceedings.

Emmanuel Adebayor, strangely off-colour, was left on for the whole game when a more enterprising approach would surely have replaced him with Jeremie Aliaderie from the bench. In the event Wenger resorted to throwing on the clumsy Julio Baptista who only served to confirm that his future lies away from the Gunners. Thierry Henry's morbid mercurialness plumbed new depths as he seemed to give up and not care once his first 2 shots didn't go in. His pathetic claims of being hit in the face when he was pushed was matched only by his general apathy to the cause. Wenger needs to take a stand. For every game that Henry plays brilliantly, there follows a spate in which he's unremarkably rubbish. This is not captaincy material.

One only look at Timmy Simons's game to see how far hard work and grit gets you when the chips don't fall your way. Along with a seemingly evergreen Phillip Cocu, they managed to keep a much more gifted Arsenal midfield at bay the whole game. With Salcido and Manuel Da Costa putting in solid shifts at the the back, PSV strove to ensure that when they were in the ascendancy, for the first part of the second half, they got results. Crucially, Mendez's arrival for Aruna Kone's layoff, was a couple of yards away from Gilberto. Positioning was the defining aspect of this tie.

Still, this tie is far from over, Arsenal can easily overcome this deficit at home - but they have to be wary of conceding away goals off counter-attacks despite dominating - the hallmark of their season so far. Arsenal will be wary of a repeat of their elimination at the hands of Valencia in 2001 - on away goals despite winning 2-1 at home (albeit in the first leg). And Farfan should be back - PSV will look to seal the deal.

There's life in this corpse yet
Real 3 - 2 Bayern

It is decidedly ironic that the 2 worst teams remaining in the draw should serve up the best game of the round. Real Madrid and Bayern Munich have won the competition 13 times between them but are outside bets for this year's title. Both are in need of new personnel, retooling and a fresh approach. Whereas Bayern have already replaced their coach, rumous emanating from the Bernebeu suggested that Real were about to do the same.

In the event, both teams got down to play some serious ball and served up a trully thrilling contest. Raul's opener came from the sweetest move of the night as a through ball from Ruud van Nistelrooy (of all people) found Raul beyond Bayern's creaking backline. The latter's finish was clinical more than clean and for the upteenth time this season, Bayern had been opened up by some clever pacy passing. Daniel van Buyten's lack of positional sense (or lack thereof) and unease against pace has surely come to signify his possible departure from the Bayern starting XI once a genuine contender emerges.

Lucio on the other hand is a hard working defender who, for all his limited ability, never has a really rank game. His arrival to meet Willy Sagnol's free kick, unmarked was completed with the easy header into Real's net for the equalizer. One felt Real were ripe for the taking. However, David Beckham of all people ensured that Real had plenty left in the tank. 2 set piece plays - one a corner and the other a free kick - found Raul and van Nistelrooy respectively. 2 scrappy finishes later Real were leading 3 - 1. If Gonzalo Higuain had converted after being sent clear by Beckham, Real may have sealed the game early in the second half. In the event, Higuain missed, got substituted and Fabio Capello lost his nerve. Not happy with having brought on the defensive midfielder Michael Salgado for Higuain, he then took wingback Roberto Carlos off for a pure defender in Raul Bravo. Carlos had earlier taken out Owen Hargreaves, who suffered another ankle injury - Manchester United will watch developments closely no doubt.

Eventually, Bayern came back strongly, Van Bommel's shot from outside the box, eluding Casillas, was the least they deserved. The jury may still be out on Gonzalo Higuain but I've made up my mind - he's not that good. In time he may become an above average forward in Spain but at present he's out of his depth. For Bayern, Lukas Podolski and Roy Makaay were typically anaemic for the upteenth time this season. Claudio Pizarro, who came on for the former, shone briefly but did little to convince that he can carry Bayern's attack. Unable to work themselves into games, Bayern's attacking corps need to be euthanised sooner than later. Bastian Schweinsteiger was notably anonymous, hounded throughout by Fernando Gago, who was preferred to the diabolical Emerson, in the Real backfield. Whereas his contribution outshone his compatriot Higuain's, Bayern will not be quaking in their boots for the return leg. For Real it is a damning indictment of their lack of personnel that Beckham, who leaves at the end of the season, was their attacking fulcrum.

Even though Real won, the 3-2 scoreline would, at best, be described as pyrrhic. In a week's time they return to Bavaria.

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Group Runners-up II - Real, Celtic, Porto, Lille

Saturday, 06 January 07, 05:21 PM

Group Runners-up II - Real, Celtic, Porto, Lille.
Strengths and weaknesses of the Champions' League clubs in the round of 16.


REAL MADRID
Weaknesses
Inconsistent:
Their defeat before Christmas, at home to Recreativo Huelva, ensured that the whispers of a crisis would not be absent over the festive season. For all the talk about their rejuvenation under Fabio Capello (beating Barcelona earlier in the season), they still remain a work in progress, devoid of the imperious consistency that sends shivers down the spines of opponents. Definitely beatable, they seem to fluctuate between dropping easy points without playing well and winning... without playing any better. Fair game for their opponents on any given day.
Aging stars:
Raul is beginning to show the ravages of a decade in the top flight playing for one of the biggest teams in the World. Ronaldo, Fabio Cannavaro and Roberto Carlos are all on the wrong side of 30, with the Brazilians especially on their last legs, while Ruud van Nistelrooy is approaching his 4th decade as well. Emerson might be their lynchpin in midfield but he turned 30 this year and David Beckham is 31 and fading fast. Elsewhere, erstwhile first team regulars Ivan Helguera, Guti and Michel Salgado are all past 30.
Slow and ponderous:
Rather than rebuilding around the youthful vigour and pace of Jose Antonio Reyes, Sergio Ramos, Robinho and Cicinho, Capello opted for the safety first policy of playing two hachetmen in midfield, the destructive Emerson and the equally morbid Mahamadou Diarra. The result is a style that is cynical and unadventurous.
Strengths
One of best defensive midfields in the game:
Emerson and Diarra may not be easy on the eyes and do no favours to romantics who scorn at tackling in all its forms, but they are very, very effective. By deploying them together, often in tandem, Capello has ensured that the spine of his side remains intact. Real, more than any other team this season, can lock opponents down and break down attacks.
One of the best finishing corps in the game:
While Raul still produces the odd goal that retains the touch of class and pedigree that his legacy will maintain, Van Nistelrooy is still the poaching, goal king he always was. Standing just onside, the Dutchman will, more often than not, stick the ball in... and then there's Ronaldo, never shy to poke the odd goal in. While not being terribly entertaining, their finishing puts Real on a level their gameplan would otherwise not be able to sustain. If only this practicality in front of net were to lend itself to Arsene Wenger and Frank Rijkaard, the 2 prettiest teams in Europe may well be favourites to rendevouz once more in the final.
Experienced coach:
Capello has won it all with Milan, and turned Roma around while scooping up the Scudetto in Serie A. The latter, more than anything, suggests he may be the man to lead Real back to the summit of European club football. Behind the glasses is a man keenly in tune with the modern game and not welded to stubborn notions that may seem impractical.


CELTIC
Weaknesses
Inexperience and thin squad:
Despite their progress (including their win over perennial heavyweights Man United), Celtic do not have an entire first team who possess Champions' League calibre. Outside the first XI, the options are limited further. If injuries and and suspension take their toll - they could very well be consoling themselves with the notion of the SPL title and that title alone - very soon.
Lacking continental style of play:
The Champions' League is played at a slower, almost regal pace, notwithstanding the 110 mph starts of many of its entrants over the year. The ability to break down teams with weighted passes and patience while holding firm at the back without over-extending oneself is an art that is learned over time. Celtic's (in)ability to slow down the pace of games will be crucial - the irony being that by doing so, much of their sting will be nullified.
Strengths
Enthusiasm and pace:
Conversely, if Celtic can use their barnstorming style (see their 4-1 demolition of Benfica) to score crucial goals without exposing themselves at the back, they could hold on and secure passage into the later rounds. Additionally while trailing, they could use this asset to their advantage - but beware the counterattack in the knockout rounds of the Champions League - Gordon Strachan will rely on the veterans of Neil Lennon, Bobo Balde and Paul Telfer to keep their heads amid the mayhem. Celtic must tread a very fine line between composed and reckless.
Fitness and physicality:
Lively and fit, their physical squad will pose many problems with their 'up and at em' style. Thomas Gravesen is a bruising backfielder and Shaun Maloney, Gary Caldwell, Lee Naylor and Shunsuke Nakamura are young pups whose up-tempo style could unsettle many of Europe's big guns.


PORTO
Weaknesses
Thin attacking corps:
Helder Postiga is their only experienced out and out attacker - their sole fox in the box if you will. While Bruno Moraes, Adriano and Jorginho performed competently when called on (the former even scoring a goal), Porto will need more experienced goalscorers in the knockout rounds where chances are few and far in between.
Tendency to go wide:
Width may be Porto's greatest strength but also their biggest weakness. While Raul Meireles has done an admirable job holding down the defensive centre he can only do so much. The tendency of the full backs to bomb upfield combined with the disdain of the 2 deployed defensive midfielders to track back into the centre often leaves a worrying hole in the middle of the park and in front of the centre halves. Porto usually start upto four wide men with only one a natural defensive midfielder - Paulo Assuncao. Much will depend on the integration of new Argentinian left back Lucas Mareque.
Strengths
Wingers and attacking midfielders:
First of all they have Ricardo Quaresma, the best young left winger in the world. He tormented and terrorized everyone in the group stage, creating several goals and constantly moving defenders out of position. If you add Lisandro Lopez and Lucho Gonzalez to the mix, both capable of drifting in from the wing and/or playing in the middle, one wonders which other team has such talent hugging the touchline. While Lucho has been a revelation, with his Argentinian call-up more than deserved, Lopez has made a knack of being in the right place at the right time to pick up on loose balls and well placed crosses. Full backs have their work cut out for them.
Settled first XI:
They don't lead the Portugese Campeonato without good reason and gave Arsenal a real run for their money in Group G - their first XI is settled with 10 players picking themselves when fit. This familiarity lends itself to their confident approach and excellent teamwork - qualities tantamount in their hard fought, 2-0 win over CSKA in Moscow in November. Their away win over Benfica proved to all the doubters that this team plays as well away as it does at home.


LILLE
Weaknesses
Lack of experience and depth:
Simply put - too green. They may have built on last season's success of beating Manchester United but they may find the knockout round against the same opposition a bit too much this time around. Enthusiasm and a bruising physical approach can only take you so far (See Celtic), established veteran teams may well withstand the pressure to deliver a potent recoil. Outside their first 8 names on the team sheet the quality drops off significantly.
Lack of proven finisher:
They've been lucky, in that their midfield have chipped in with crucial goals, but their lack of a cultured striker could prove to be their undoing. Kader Keita, Jean Makoun and Daniel Bodmer are hardworking industrious midfielders but the space afforded them by Milan, Anderlecht and AEK Athens may not be similarly available against the likes of Manchester United. Peter Odemwingie may still be a few years off from becoming the next great Camerounian striker despite his competent displays as a lone striker.
Strengths
Physical, hardy and enthusiastic:
Stathis Tavlaridis, Gregory Tafforeau and Nikolas Plestan take no prisoners at the back - getting well up for any high balls and crosses. Keita and Bodmer are tireless, often chasing balls right to the touchline while the rest of the midfield embody what Lille is all about, limited ability, unlimited heart. Ever since their opening game draw with Anderlecht they have been talking up their chances of progressing and after a hard fought away win over Milan - and here they are.
Balanced midfield up for a scrap:
Keita can play in the middle, as a defensive scrapper or on the wing; Bodmer as both an attacking midfielder or a defensive anchor; Nicolas Fauverge as an attacker in the hole or on the wing and Makoun as an all action tackler and passer who can play anywhere in the midfield. This flexibility allows coach Claude Puel to rotate and balance out the fringe players while giving his defence more cover when the going gets tough.


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Champions' League Draw - first thoughts

Monday, 18 December 06, 12:40 AM

The cream has risen in Europe.

At the end of the group stages, demotions, pre-qualifying and ancillary qualifying, the knockout rounds have been set. 16 teams in the Champions' League and 32 in the UEA cup will go head to head for the final chalice in their respective competitions. I for one, am glad the tedium is now finally over. While the knockout rounds are still over 2 months away and there is a transfer window in between, I'll try and sketch out my initial thoughts of the draw. This is always dodgy. I make no claims of being clairevoyant - not at this stage anyway.

At the end of Matchday 6 in the Champions' League, the only surprises for me was Inter failing to beat Bayern and Celtic losing to Kobenhavn. As a result both Inter and Celtic missed out on topping their groups. While Inter may well fancy their chances against Valencia, Celtic surely do not relish their tie against Milan.

The Rossoneri may have dropped their last game against Lille but it was a dead rubber. When it comes to navigating through knockout rounds, few do it better than Milan. Celtic have the speed to trouble Milan's ageing backline but they have no hope of coping with the twin threats of Pirlo and Kaka, when on song. Form will have a large part to play in this game but Celtic may find that they are up against wily veterans who have campaigned for many springs in Europe. Milan are good for atleast another round in Europe this season - they've been lucky that their opponents are Celtic rather than someone more wily and experienced.

Inter are my dark horses and outside bets for the whole damn thing this year. They are balanced, poised and have lost their initial jitters. Valencia are excellent in Europe but seem to be slowly imploding with every passing week. However they have the personnel to be quietly confident going into this tie and if they can hold onto David Villa past January, they may well be fit to cause an upset. Their organisation and experience are their chief threats but it will be Inter who will be looking forward to this tie more than Valencia. Expect a grinding contest decided by a Stankovic header or a Villa penalty.

Arsene Wenger's remarks at the end of the draw may have been taken out of context. When he said the draw was "not an easy one" he did not necessarily mean that they had drawn a tough opponent - step forward Liverpool, who have done just that - he meant that PSV cannot be considered easy pushovers and that there are no easy games at this stage at this level. This time round there were few bunnies, if any, sitting in the pot waiting to be drawn for the group winners - even LOSC Lille may well give United a run for their money - and as such, although PSV can be considered a non heavyweight; they are by no means an easy opponent. Still, Wenger can be safe in the knowledge that PSV are not as muscular in their approach as some of the other group runners-up could be and spend time playing the ball on the ground. I doubt he would have enjoyed going head to head with Inter or Porto, definitely not with Arsenal's unease at set pieces and aerial balls.

Liverpool, 2005 winners, drew the short straw and have the plum tie of Barcelona, themselves winners last year. No one would envy them the task of dethroning the current champions of Europe - however the two glimmers of hope that Kopites can cling to, is that Benitez is a shrewd operator in Europe (2 finals with Valencia, the title with them, a 4-1 upset win over Barcelona in the 1999-2000 season) and that even though Liverpool are inconsistent at times - so are Barca. But, If Iniesta and Deco can continue their heady form while sharing the workload with the ever brilliant Ronaldinho, Liverpool are in big trouble, Gerrard's long range missiles notwithstanding.

Chelsea will meet Porto, winners in 2004. Even though Mourinho coached Porto to the summit 2 years ago, he will have his work cut out as Porot have moved on from then. Tricky winger Quaresma will terrorise Chelsea down the flanks - especially if they insist on playing a solid but narrow defensive midfield. Lucho will tease from distance, Postiga may well turn in a few close range tallies. Having said that, however, I cannot see Porto upsetting Chelski over 2 legs. There may well be some nervous moments on set pieces but Chelsea have too many tricks up their sleeves. They are far too established and settled a machine to come unstuck against Porto. If in the mood Drogba can singlehandedly bludgeon in a few goals against the Portugese leaders.

Man U seem to be on some sort of trail of redemption this season. They have mounted a furious pacesetting challenge domestically, belying their usual slow starts, they've conquered their nemesis from last season in the group stage, Benfica. Now, in Lille, they find themselves up against another one of the teams that ended their European campaign at the group stage last year. Revenge must surely be on their minds. Yes, I'll be honest, Man U are the favorites, but don't count out the plucky French outfit, Odemwingie will be a handful for the United backline, Tavlardis more than a match for Saha, their midfield capable of controlling United's gaping absence in the middle of the park. I guess we'll have to wait and see. If Man U do win, keeping with my theme of redemption, they might well be drawn against Milan next.

Real renew rivalries with Bayern. From 1998 to 2002, 4 of the 5 European Cups were won by these two clubs. So, recent pedigree and history should not be lacking when it comes to motivation. Both have fallen off the summit in recent years. More attacking, fresher upstarts in the German Bundesliga seem to be giving Bayern a run for the title while the heavyweight duopoly in La Liga has shifted back to Barcelona. Real were dressed by Arsenal last year and have stuttered this year. Bayern started very well but have slowed up a little in recent weeks. So expect this to be a stop start game depending on form and finishing. Bastian Schweinsteiger can turn the tie for Bayern along with Roy Makaay. At the same time watch for Ruud or Raul to bundle home some loose balls in the 6 yard box.

The best tie though, of the whole competition and perhaps in all of Europe this season, has to be Roma versus Lyon. Whereas Inter versus Valencia will be more tactical and at times more brutal in the sheer physicality of the tie, the aesthetic brilliance of Lyon versus Roma is hard to match. This will be a game of 2 teams commited to attacking - two teams who believe the only way to win is to score more goals than your opponent. They will go forward at every stage and send balls crossfield searching for ever more attacking options. Lyon should shade this though, if only in that they are more assured, settled and consistent than Roma. The Italians, however are more mercurial and can upset the applecart if De Rossi and Totti are in the mood. Watch for plenty of goals and some audacious shots from distance.

So, off the top of my head at first glance, these are my initial picks:

Chelsea over Porto
Milan over Celtic
Arsenal over PSV
Man U over Lille
Lyon over Roma
Barcelona over Liverpool
Bayern over Real
Inter over Valencia

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