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In Inter's Defence

Tuesday, 27 February 07, 04:35 PM

In defence of Inter.

So apparently now Italian fans are claiming that Serie A is too weak. Evidentally the ONLY reason why Inter is dominating is because they are surrounded by overachieving mediocrity (Empoli, Palermo, Catania) and underachieving pedigree (Milan, Roma, Fiorentina). Inter are actually garbage, they are the evil incarnate who need to be put in their place by the return of erstwhile hero, ex-public enemy number one and conquering usurper Juventus. (sic)


This thought pattern can surely be attributed to the notoriously fickle Italian psyche - or is it a deeper malaise ? Was it not Juventus who were recently excommunicated from Serie A with relegation to the second division, roundly abused by everyone for being on the favourable end of decisions and all-round puppetry engineered by that modern day machiavellian devil in chief - Luciano Moggi ? Was Juventus not the same team that were stripped of their ill-gotten gains, one of which, the 2006 Serie A title, was then awarded to Inter. Was not Inter, riding on the crest of a wave of positive public opinion and support, coupled with an all conquering team displaying mindboggling consistency supposed to herald in a new era of transparency and competitiveness in Serie A ?

Why this sudden change in opinion ?

If anything, Inter should be lauded for keeping their heads, moulding together so many talents and superstars into one cohesive unit that has refused to blink when put in the spotlight, and blazed a trail of glory while running away with the Scudetto. If ever there was an example of all round domestic excellence - this year's imperious display by Inter is surely the best case. Why the need to compromise and discount such an achievement ?

Okay so Juventus was not there - big deal. Juventus did not deserve to be there to begin with. In any case, the same reason why they were thrown out, is probably why they seemed to beat Inter in the past - they cheated. End of story. So if anything, these remarks basically mean "Inter are rubbish, they haven't beaten a Juventus team that cheated over them in the past".

So Inter have to beat Juventus while the latter own the referees and replays. Don't make me laugh.

What of Milan, their crosstown rivals and fellow chequebook cowboys ? Milan's response has been effete, inconsistent and jaded. That's not Inter's fault. When the two teams met, Inter raced to a 4 - 1 lead before Milan made the margin respectable (Milan still lost 4 - 3 ). Inter dominated the better part of that match. Even without the points deduction (for that same reason - cheating), Milan are counties behind Inter.

What of Roma, whom Inter have beaten and left behind in their dust ?

So, Valencia held Inter. Big deal. Valencia play in a tougher league and are actually not too bad themselves. Plus, they took their chances off plucky set-pieces. On another day Valencia could have played the same and lost 2 - 0 (or 4 - 0 for that matter). Inter mostly dominated that match. Inter's opponents have the advantage of playing slightly tougher opponents week in, week out. Despite this, they were second best to a clearly superior Inter side. Valencia are made to cause teams like Inter problems with their dogged, reactive approach. Celta beat Valencia, does that make them better than Inter ? Absolutely not. I had written before how Valencia may be Inter's toughest opponents so far - and that match proved it. Yet it does not take anything away from the Nerrazzuri.

There's an oddly Byzantine hypocrisy that pervades the mentality of the average fan, that seems to despise Inter and put them down. Barely a year after lauding the coup that deposed Juventus, they are grumbling about the successor. Serie A fans should sit back and enjoy Inter's games - they've never had it so good. Let Juventus come up next year, the arrival of the likes of Zdenek Grygera and Hasan Salihamdzic shouldn't trouble this Inter side.

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Inter slip against Valencia, Liverpool stun Barcelona

Saturday, 24 February 07, 12:06 AM

Round of 16 - First legs II

Rafa Rumbles the Nou Camp

Barcelona 1 - 2 Liverpool

If this game is any indication, managers everywhere should order up copies of Fight Club and sign up for the bulk plan from PING. Throw out the training videos, what your team needs is some Karaoke fuelled drunken aggression and a handy supply of golf clubs. Craig Bellamy and John Riise as a pair, do not even remotely resemble Edward Norton and Brad Pitt but on this performance it's safe to say both find random violence equally therapeutic.

What a turnaround for a club seemingly troubled and unable to find the away day consistency required to mount a creditable challenge in the league. Lesser teams may have folded after conceding an early goal at the Nou Camp but Liverpool battled back to draw level and then take the lead and win. How fitting that the two miscreants in Portugal - Bellamy and Riise made up by matching each other on the scoresheet. If only every club could have its players take out their violent competitiveness on the opposing team.

Is Frank Riijkard losing the plot ? Most managers would have dealt with Samuel Eto'o's selfish attitude on the weekend with a more direct disciplinary approach. Teams don't pay players to play when they feel like - it's a player's responsibility as a professional to turn out whenever fit and required whether it's for 92 minutes or just 2. As disgusting and pathetic as Eto'o's remonstration, justification and follow up make up was - it was only matched by Riijkard's effete resolution of the affair before belatedly leaving Eto'o out of the squad for this match.

Perhaps starting Andres Iniesta in place of Thiago Motta and pushing Xavi further back to protect the back four would have given Barcelona more balance and attacking bite - then again perhaps playing only 2 forwards instead of 3 may have left Barcelona less threadbare in the middle of the park. In actual events Liverpool controlled the midfield while no one could deal with Bellamy's pace down the left. The Catalan club had more attempts on goal but the crucial ones were by Liverpool and more importantly resulted in goals. The best player on the pitch may have been Deco but the best team was definitely Liverpool. The training pitch pictures were a tad artificial but the teamwork on display here was real.

Momo Sissoko's return to the Champions' League lineup was a welcome return as it allowed Benitez to give his other midfielders license to rampage forward. After the first 20 odd minutes, when Barcelona were rampant, they slowly relinquished their dominance and Liverpool increasingly came into the game. Javier Saviola's miss when he went past Carragher was the turning point. Professional would be a fair description as Liverpool took their chances while Barcelona missed theirs. Deco tried all he could but everywhere around him a lack of creative focus seemed to blunt all of Barcelona's intentions. It was telling that Liverpool scored their second goal of a rebound, Bellamy passing back across goal for Riise, but when presented with his best chance off a rebound, Lionel Messi had his deflected over.

Barcelona have to go to Anfield and win by 2 goals. With games against Sevilla and Real on the horizon as well, Rijkaard's end may be nigh.


Unstoppable Force meets Immovable Object
Inter 2 - 2 Valencia

It baffles me beyond sanity why and how Inter insist on making things hard for themselves again and again. It amazes me how incredible Valencia are at ensuring you can never write them off. Keeping in theme with Brad Pitt's movies; In Guy Ritchie's movie Snatch (2001) starring Pitt, there is a crucial scene where a massive hired goon goes one on one in a fistfight with a much smaller and skinnier Pitt. The larger man repeatedly batters the hollywood heartthrob with a series of crushing uppercuts and hooks. Each time Pitt gets up. Eventually, Pitt takes his chance and socks the giant.. and fells him.

For giant read Inter - for Pitt say hello to Valencia.

For the opening and better part of the match Inter slaughtered Valencia. Storming forward, irrepressible and focussed it seemed a miracle if Valencia escaped a hiding. Inter promptly took the lead and continued pressing. They hit and missed posts, poured forward in numbers. Santiago Canizares was kept busy, Roberto Ayala and Raul Albiol were undersiege more than they have been this season. Yet, you sensed somehow, Valencia were not out of it. Slowly they held firm, rode their luck to a certain extent (One wonders what would have happened if Zlatan Ibrahimovic's header against the post had gone in). Inter dominated this match but failed to capitalise on their superiority - they may live to regret this.

I wrote earlier on about how this may be the plum tie of the round of 16 in the Champions' League - more importantly, this was Inter's acid test in Europe. The prognosis so far ? They're still a bit off the pace. No doubt battering a slightly substandard Serie A week in week out has added a touch of complacency while lowering the performace levels of Europe's best stocked squad. To be the best you must play agains the best. Valencia, on the other hand, play in the toughest league in Europe, having to play week after week against a variety of balanced, tricky opponents. This gulf in experience paid off for the Spanish team as they came back and evened out the tie.

David Villa is more than just a sumptuous striker, as he creates so many chances for his team mates in addition to scoring goals. His free kick here was unstoppable, displaying a potency from set-piece as well as open play. Julio Cesar stood no chance and suddenly, Valencia had stopped a rampant Inter team in its tracks. You feared for Inter, them of the fragile mental state at times. Yet Inter continued where they had left off and bulldozed forward - aptly Maicon teamed up with Julio Cruz to slot home Inter's second. You felt that's it, Inter had held on. Surely Valencia were done. But no. With virtually the last play of the game, David Silva, volleyed a cleared corner into the goal. Inter were stunned, Valencia ecstatic.

The coaches both played interesting starting lineups - Roberto Mancini should have deployed Olivier Dacourt instead of Luis Figo at the start. Later on as Dejan Stankovic seemed to have run out of steam, he should have brought Figo on. Similarly, Hugo Viana would have done better in midfield than Carlos Marchena. More natural in that position he would be a better foil for dogged ball retriever David Albelda. The introduction of both into the respective lineups - in Dacourt's case earlier than Mancini would have liked, was perhaps an indication that both coaches had gotten their opening balance a tad bit wrong.

Inter may have lost the advantage but Valencia has surely captured the impetus in this tie. Away goals are crucial in the knockout round - having a brace is priceless - especially against Inter. Conquering armies have been broken by a stubborn last stand - Inter's season hangs in the balance. Inter have it all to do now - the Mestella awaits.


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The Calm before the Storm I

Saturday, 10 February 07, 09:16 PM

Part 1 of 2.

We're in the final home stretch leading up to the first legs of the knockout round, here's a look at where all the various contestants stand. The engines are revving in the pit lane and we're about to embark on the warm up lap - the last few matches before they square off Feb 20/21. Who's hot, who's not and who's still looking for a working clutch pedal - or in Lyon's case a functional, healthy strikeforce. (All stats since the new year and accurate upto Friday Feb 9 2007.)

Running Smooth:

INTER
6 wins 1 draw overall. In 4 cup ties: 1 home win 1 home draw 2 away wins.

It seems the only thing preventing Inter from officially claiming the Serie A title is the suspension of the domestic championship. Luckily for Inter the Champions' League is more resilient to fan violence and considerably better supported financially. If the only worries for Roberto Mancini come matchday is whom to omit from the bench, he'll be content. Keeping this squad motivated, hungry and focussed is trickier than it may seem.. especially when you consider that one of Europe's other form teams, Valencia, pose their hardest test this year in the round of 16.

VALENCIA
4 wins 1 draw 2 losses overall. In 2 cup ties: 1 home loss 1 away draw.

Whereas the minor blip in the league against Betis can be put down to an away day blue (not so rare) in the notoriously cut-throat Primera Liga, more worrying for Quique Flores will be the elimination at the hands of Getafe. Madrid's third team is one of the tightest defensive units in the league and more akin to Inter than anyone else Valencia will meet this season. The prognosis was not good. The Kings' Cup may not rank high on Valencia's list or priorities this season but the Champions' League surely does, anything less than 100% against Inter and their continental adventure could be over by the first week of March.

CHELSEA
7 wins 2 draws overall. In 4 cup ties: 3 home wins 1 away draw.

The sludge in the engine remains, some may say in the bulky frame of Ballack. Their wins have been barely functional and hardly imperious - but they've still been victories - and the hallmark of a good team is the ability to grind out a win even when not on song. Chelsea have regressed in the year since they last got knocked out by Barcelona, but they still pose a potent threat to anyone left in the draw. Now, they've gotten their defence back, as a bonus, Ballack has been injured in an International friendly. If only we could all lose dead weight from the middle that easily.

MANCHESTER UNITED
5 wins 1 draw 1 loss overall. In 2 cup ties: 2 homes wins.

They are the form team of the Premiership at the moment - churning out victories with refreshing and often ridiculous ease. Larsson's acquisition have given them further depth up front and Saha's return will boost them further. Their team is firing on all cylinders and all parts seem to be gelling at just the right time - from Vidic at the back to Ronaldo and Giggs on the wings.

Ferguson's only worry will be United's lack of cutting edge against teams who are not afraid of playing at them. Their defeat at Arsenal was comprehensive and for the first half hour against Spurs they were definitely outplayed. Whereas teams in the Premiership often surrender after conceding the first goal to United, their opponents in Europe will show more fight and gumption - and none more so than Lille who they face first up. The away leg of a cup tie should prove an acid test of their credentials.

Having said that though, few managers would pass on trading up with Alex Ferguson right now.

LILLE
4 wins 2 draws 1 loss overall. In 3 cup ties: 2 away wins 1 away loss.

The only team besides Arsenal and Inter who have managed multiple away wins in cup ties this calendar year - a very good statistic to have. The significance of an away win cannot be overstated enough. Cup ties on enemy turf are the most intimidating matches a team can face during a season - winning then are arguably the most impressive of the a team's season.

Lille seem to care little for reputation and will plunge themselves into any tie with relish and zest. Like a pack of young huskies who know no fear, Lille's physical approach will ruffle more than it's fair share of feathers. The injury to Mathieu Bodmer however could prove to be a serious setback - one hopes he can return in time for United. He, more than anyone symbolises the all action style of Lille.

CELTIC
6 wins overall. In 2 cup ties. 1 home win 1 away win.

Solid, well oiled, robust - they just keep winning. Celtic have made dominating in Scotland look even easier than normal. The loss of Shaun Maloney shouldn't make much difference as Celtic have enough players to compensate for his absence, with Paul Hartley's arrival ensuring that the midfield corps retains its depth and threat. Their pace against Milan's aging backline should be crucial - however their lack of matchplay against quality opposition will be telling, Dumbarton and Livingston are a far cry from teams they will meet in Europe. The irony being that no matter how good their domestic form is - it's Milan's form that will decide the tie.

Celtic should make sure they never lose that winning feeling or that winning attitude. Their tie against Milan could not come at a better time and if they do not have to travel to the San Siro for the away leg, their chances may increase substantially.

ROMA
3 wins 4 draws overall. In 4 cup ties: 2 home wins 2 away draws.

They've been efficient rather than overpowering but they've added steel to their normally inconsistent performances. Milan may be limping a little right now, but Roma's victory over them in the Coppa Italia semifinals was still a good performance. 2 legged ties are often won by winning the home leg and holding out away. Roma have shown that they can do both. Their new found resilience and the fact that their opponents Lyon are in a slump themselves may make this tie tilt a little in their favour than before.

If Totti can keep his head and their midfield can swarm the opposition, progression is definitely on the cards. Their opponents look ripe for the taking.

ARSENAL
6 wins 3 draws overall. In 5 cup ties: 2 away wins 1 home win 1 home draw 1 away draw.

Unbeaten since the new year despite an injury list that seems to grow longer even longer every time they play. Arsenal seem to have welded grit, determination and resolve to their normally turbocharged frame. The gunners have never lacked the talent or skill to be successful in Europe but have now developed a clinical resilience that makes them harder to beat. Along with Chelsea, no one has played more times since the new year and just like their west London neighbours - are still unbeaten. More Importantly, no one has played Group Phase winners more often and crucially, beaten them.

If the comeback win against United at home was stellar, their back to back wallopings of a Liverpool side at Anfield are surely the pick of the bunch. Provided Arsenal stay healthy and retain focus, a place in the quaterfinals seems likely.

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Serie A according to Gabriele

Friday, 19 January 07, 03:46 PM

Welcome everyone.

Today we have an Interview with Gabriele Porri, Serie A fan and expert.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

How are you Gabriele? Especially knowing that Inter and Milan are now alleged to have engaged in illegal bookkeeping? Juventus leading the probe then? ;-)


It’s just the result of many and many years of bad administration of Italian football. We knew the facts: Inter and Milan exchanged some young players, overrating their value so that the incomes were put in the balance sheet of the current year, while the payments were spread over many years (and it was possible according to a law done by Government Berlusconi). Anyway, also Juventus (so they cannot leave the probe), AS Roma, Lazio, Genoa and Sampdoria are alleged. The problem is there are no enough rules in Italian sport law against this malpractice, and the same persons that sent away commissioner Rossi (the man who would have made new rules), now would like to see those teams punished.

What do you make of the season so far?

Well, the “problem” is that Inter is dominating, but I don’t think is due to Juventus’ absence. I think that 20 teams are too much for main League in Italy. Anyway, we could see in first half some good matches and good goals.

Biggest Surprise ? Team and Player.

Team is Catania, newcomer and fourth, player is Cristiano Doni of Atalanta: I didn’t expect he would have been back to Italy at the age of 33, playing so good as he did in 2002

Biggest Disappointment ? Team and Player.

AC Milan, without penalty they would be 20 points behind Inter, player Oliveira, compared to 20 million Euros Milan spent for him.

Will Inter hold on and win the Scudetto? Can they go unbeaten? If they take the Coppa Italia seriously can they win the Treble ?

I think Inter will win the Scudetto at the end, but it’s difficult they go unbeaten for 38 games. For sure Mancini takes seriously the Coppa Italia as he won it many times both as a player and a coach, but the Treble is very difficult. In Europe there’s a tough competition, I’d say Inter has 15% probability.

What do you make of Javier Zanetti's resurgence and Dejan Stankovic in general?

I think Javier Zanetti’s great season is also due to his very good physical condition, which is necessary for him to do well. Stankovic has always been one of my favourite midfielders, has a great shot, now he can also play in the position he likes more, and he is only 29. I think Inter has a super midfielder for 5 years more.

Can Palermo cement its place in the top 4/5 (6th in '05, 5th in 06 and now 3rd) or will it's lack of financial muscle cause it drop down into mid-table security/obscurity?

Palermo is a toy in its chairman’s hands. It’s up to Zamparini if Palermo will stay in top 4-5 for the next years or not. Well, I think Palermo fans are happy about choosing between these two options: in the recent past they knew bankruptcies and a lot of seasons in Serie C (Third Division)!

What do you make of Ronaldo coming to Milan?

In my opinion, AC Milan will have a good striker, but also a 30 years old overweight man. Maybe he will bring them to 4th place, but he’s not the same player we saw in black and blue jersey in 1997-98.

Do you think Ricardo Oliveira is a bust or just needs more time to settle?

Do you know what AC Milan fans and some media said when he came to Milan? That signing Oliveira, whose agent was Ronaldinho’s brother, would have been the key to sign the Brazilian star next year. Today, Ronaldinho’s brother isn’t his agent anymore. Don’t know if Oliveira is a bust (let’s give him a choice in the second half), surely he’s not a star.

Best player pickup in the off-season? Was it Zlatan Ibrahimovic at Inter?

I think so, Ibra has the potential to become one of the 2-3 top European players. He has very good technical and athletic skills, it’s incredible what he can do with his enormous feet!

Will Parma get relegated and then sell off even more of its players?

Parma is one of the main candidates to be relegated, and it’s a pity how this glorious team fell-in. Don’t know what’s going on with its public sale, anyway their hope is the big number of young players.

Can Roma ever get consistent enough to mount a serious challenge again? Do you think Francesco Totti will end his career there?

I think it’s easier that the pope leaves Rome rather than Totti!

AS Roma has just a problem: their starting 11 is one of the best, but the other players cannot replace them the same way.

Udinese this season, are they underachieving or just really mid-table material? Will Antonio Di Natale and the 2 Ghanaians - Gyan Asamoah and Sulley Muntari - move onto to greener pastures in the off-season?

I think Udinese could qualify to UEFA Cup, but they did wrong sacking Galeone. Iaquinta is the Udinese player the other teams seek most, let’s wait and see. Maybe Muntari will leave, but he’s not so good in this season, too nervous and already sent off three times!

Messina were top 2 of Serie A briefly and now are one spot above the trapdoor - how come? Will they drop down?

It will be difficult for them to avoid relegation, especially now that Storari and Di Napoli have been sold.

Who has the best Youth Development System in Serie A - Empoli? Atalanta? Roma?

Empoli, Roma but also Juventus in last years.

Who is better this season - Sampdoria's Cristiano Zenoni or Udinese's Damiano Zenoni? Who do you think has had a better career so far?

This year Damiano is doing better, but Cristian in his career has won 2 Scudetti when he was in Juventus, so I think he had a better career

Is Mancini the best attacking right winger/wingback in Serie A - what about Serginho?

Mancini is one of the best, Serginho prefers to play in the left side and this year is injured.

Can Emiliano Bonazzoli at Sampdoria go on to become a top forward? What about Francesco Flachi?

Bonazzoli is one of those eternal hopes that never become top players, but he is 27 and hasn’t missed the last train yet. Flachi isn’t a star, but really a good Serie A player

Similarly, who do you think is a better striker - Milan's Alberto Gilardino or Fiorentina's Luca Toni?

I do prefer Toni, but you must consider that Gilardino is 24 and Toni when he was 24 used to play in a small club like Vicenza, and was at his very first year in Serie A

In Serie A which young player do you tip for greatness? Ricardo Montolivo? Alberto Aquilani?

I’d say Aquilani has better skills than Montolivo, in this half season I have been impressed by Alessanro Rosina of Torino and Fabio Quagliarella of Sampdoria

Roughly between 1997 and 2001 Serie A had become a little stale, too defensive, not enough flair players being successful, too many fouls. Since Roma won in 2001 things have changed it seems, with the final product on the pitch being more entertaining - would you agree?

Well, I do not agree completely, between 1997 and 2001 you could see players as Ronaldo, Roberto Baggio, Del Piero, Weah: in those seasons (until 2002) clubs used to win the Scudetto at the very last step. Maybe now it is more entertaining, but less interesting

Finally, what would you like to see changed for the better in Serie A in the future?

Less teams, 16 or 18, comfortable stadiums with many services, more and more rigid rules on the administration side, new people on the top of our Football Association (Carraro isn’t anymore at FIGC, and who they are thinking about? Antonio Matarrese who is 67 and became president for the first time 20 years ago), more attention to young players and Youth Development.

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The Exorcism of Internazionale

Sunday, 14 January 07, 05:54 PM

Inter's time is coming.

In every championship season, there comes a moment that proves to be the definitive challenge for a team. Usually it's a match, sometimes it's a transfer, other times a press conference gone horribly wrong (Kevin Keegan anyone) or terribly well. Often this moment is preceded by smaller challenges, each an obstacle to greatness in themselves, each one slightly bigger than the one previous. But they are all preludes to that big, critical moment when the team in question must finally rise to the challenge and define their season - go on to glory or fall by the wayside.


On Feb 21, 2007, Inter take on Valencia at the San Siro. Two weeks later they meet again at the Mestella. For Internazionale, this tie, is the defining point of their season. If they can beat the Ches they may well go on to win the Champions' League in addition to the Serie A title.

So far, this season, they have disposed of Milan in the Milan derby with ridiculous ease, the 4-3 scoreline notwithstanding, banishing some demons from earlier hidings they have gotten in that fixture (a Maurizio Ganz inspired 6-0 win in May 2001). They have beaten erstwhile contendors Palermo as well as second placed Roma, both away from home. Those matches may have settled the issue on the domestic front, lending an inevitability to the notion that the Nerazzuri may indeed, finally win the title again. However, they cannot finish the season having fulfilled their potential and ambition if they do not come close to winning the Champions' League as well. This may well be their best chance. So far they have answered all the critics to lay the foundation for a memorable season. To that end the tilt against Valencia is more seminal than any other tie this season.

Arsenal's 2003-04 unbeaten season was forged in the heated cauldron of a premeiership season where more physical and better heeled teams sought to knock them off their perch with both brawny tactics and money. As much as the draws against Manchester United counted - notably the 0-0 draw at Old Trafford - Arsenal's crucial moment came when they went into the half time break down 2-1 against Liverpool, days after having been knocked out of both the Champions' League and FA Cup. On that occasion, Henry scored a hat-trick and singlehandedly dragged Arsenal back into the match and onto the league title, unbeaten, unconquered, invincible.

Likewise, Arsenal's league and Cup doubles in both 2002 and 1998 were sealed with comprehensive dismantlings of rivals United at Old Trafford both times - Overmars and Wiltord step forward.

Barcelona's first league title under Riijkaard and with Ronaldinho was cemented with a clinical win over arch rivals Real Madrid. Milan's unbeaten season in 1991-92 was based as much on the zero in the looses column as on the win over Juventus in the Del Alpi. United's treble win in 1999 had it's seminal moments aplenty - Dennis Bergkamp's missed penalty in the FA Cup replay and Winterburn's broken nose against Leeds, not to mention, Pippo Inzaghi putting Juve up 2-0 within 11 minutes in the Champions' League semi-final second leg. Heck even Porto's sublime treble season in 2004 had it's critical juncture, the tie against United in the Champions' League knockout rounds. The list goes on.

Teams have been there before, and winked, Arsenal versus Chelsea in the Champions' League Quarterfinals in 2003-04. Arsenal versus Manchester United, in the FA Cup semifinals in both 1999 and 2004. Inter, on the last day of the 2001-02 season. Milan, in the second leg against Deportivo in the Champions' League in 2003-04. Eternal French Champions' Olympique Lyon, when they contrived to lose to Milan in the Champions' League quarterfinals last year.

Quite simply, Inter, must hold their nerve.

If, Inter do go on to complete a most unique unbeaten league title (their matches against Milan and Roma seem to be the only obstacles on that course) and add to that the Champions' League, they would have replaced the demons in the trophy cabinet with some pretigious silverware. And as a Milan and Arsenal fan, I will be the first to congratulate them.

Game on then

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Group Runners-up I - Barcelona, Inter, PSV, Roma.

Thursday, 04 January 07, 06:46 PM

Group Runners-up I - Barcelona, Inter, PSV, Roma.
Strengths and weaknesses of the Champions' League clubs in the round of 16.


BARCELONA
Weaknesses
Attacking corps is mercurial this year:
Ronaldinho is still lethal and capable of sheer brilliance on occasion but he is still mostly start stop. Deco can follow a brilliant game with 2 lacklustre ones, while Giuly is not the same as he was at this stage last year. Larsson ? Oh yeah - he's at Man Utd via Helsingborgs.
No finisher:
Which leads me to the main point about Barcelona's attack - Eto'o is injured. They have no one to put the ball in the back off the net.
Not cynical enough:
There's a lot to be said about the cynical foul in midfield 45 yards from goal - Bayern, Inter, Manchester United and Real have all made it into an art form. Barcelona seem to have lost it. Potential attacks often become probable goals as a result.
Strengths
Depth:
Another one of the deepest squads in Europe - helped inevitably by Juventus' firesale. One of the most skilled and talented teams in the competition. Mourinho must be secretly envious.
Experience:
They won last year... and then added Zambrotta and Thuram. Many of the senior players have been around for ages both at Barcelona or in the latter stages of European competition. Rijkaard is an old hand at all this.
Explosive attack when on fire:
If Barcelona are in the mood - expect fireworks. They will light up any defence for some scorching scores in an exhilarating display of attacking intent. The question is - does this attitude help as much in the latter stages of a 2 legged tie ?


INTER
Weaknesses
Belief:
Perenially bridesmaids when it comes to the bigger competitions, their lack of killer instinct stems as much from a lack of belief as from a lack of ability. If they are to triumph they must go about exorcising demons as much as make tackles in the opposing half.
Concentration:
Inextricably, they can all fall asleep - letting a team they have dominated for most of the match back into it. Mancini must work on keeping this group motivated, focussed and on the ball - in more ways than one.
Strengths
Stankovic:
You read it here first - Europe's most underrated midfielder this season. No one else has played as well for as long as he has this season. A bit of an underdog, you'll never hear him being mentioned in the 'Best midfielder in Europe' discussions - but this season he has really come to life. The former Yugoslavia has featured many players who have played crucial parts in winning the Champions' League - Milan's Savicevic in '94, Juventus' Jugovic in '96, Real's Mijatovic in '99, the whole flippin Red Star Belgrade side in '91. A good bet for Inter's Stankovic in '07 to join that list.
Balance:
Inter are equally blessed with finishers, playmakers, stoppers, wide men, wingbacks, centre halfs, tacklers, set piece specialists as well as cynical goaders who can annoy the bejesus out of opposing stars - Materazzi.
Depth:
If required, Inter's second string can handily beat most sides. Alvaro Recoba and Solari don't even make it to the bench most days - remember them?


PSV
Weaknesses
Shaky backfield:
As solid as Alex is at anchoring the backline, PSV are a little weak in other places. Addo and Da Costa are not quite the imposing centre half, Reiziger is a spent force and Kromkamp, though adept, is not quite continental material. In front of them, PSV lack a true, shielding defensive midefielder like Makalele and Vieira.
Attack is still thin:
True, both Kone and Farfan score often but are both a bit like ex-player Kezman - good against rubbish teams but rubbish against good teams. Kluivert is on lifesupport and Tardelli not in the same class. Their attack is competent but not proficient.
Strengths
Balance:
In a perverse thumb in the face of the big chequebook cowboys of Europe, PSV has quietly assembled a squad with decent balance. No one is a true world beater - not anymore, anyway - but everyone is within a level or two of each other. Whereas some of the bigger teams drop noticeably when several first teamers are out, PSV seem to have a whole raft of made-to-order middling talents ready to plug the gaps without a depreciable change.
Equally deadly off setpieces and open play:
PSV has had to develop it's gameplan to suit every eventuality. They can hurt you off deadballs as well as prove quite proficient at sticking the ball in from open play. Very well organised, their movement and teamwork is fundamental to their gameplan.


ROMA
Weaknesses
Inconsistent:
Maddeningly mercurial at times, they can beat table toppers on one day and then promptly drop points to basement dwellers the next. Coach Luciano Spaletti has to work on keeping this team from switching off.
Inexperience:
Panucci has won it all a couple of times before while Totti, De Rossi and Perotta won the World Cup with Italy this summer. The knockout stages of the Champions' League however is a different ball game. Their team has never been required to play 7 ties against the best in Europe over 3 months before. Other than Totti and Panucci, few even know how to.
Strengths
Discipline:
No red cards so far, one of the fewest yellow card tallies, this Roma team keeps things clean for the most part. For a team that features De Rossi and several young midfielders who like to get stuck in, this is very impressive indeed.
Totti:
Seemingly better with every passing season - he's lead scorer in the Italian league. Absolutely deadly from attacking positions, he seems to find new ways to score every week. If inspiration is required - Roma look to him.
Deep midfield:
Lots of up and coming stars mixed with some established internationals - Roma's midfield features loads of players who can tackle, pass well and score - some like Taddei and Mancini, spectacularly so. Leeds United once made it to the semifinals with an army of enthusiastic midfielders - perhaps Roma can bond around the old heads of Totti, Tonetto and Panucci and do the same.


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Champions' League Draw - first thoughts

Sunday, 17 December 06, 06:40 PM

The cream has risen in Europe.

At the end of the group stages, demotions, pre-qualifying and ancillary qualifying, the knockout rounds have been set. 16 teams in the Champions' League and 32 in the UEA cup will go head to head for the final chalice in their respective competitions. I for one, am glad the tedium is now finally over. While the knockout rounds are still over 2 months away and there is a transfer window in between, I'll try and sketch out my initial thoughts of the draw. This is always dodgy. I make no claims of being clairevoyant - not at this stage anyway.

At the end of Matchday 6 in the Champions' League, the only surprises for me was Inter failing to beat Bayern and Celtic losing to Kobenhavn. As a result both Inter and Celtic missed out on topping their groups. While Inter may well fancy their chances against Valencia, Celtic surely do not relish their tie against Milan.

The Rossoneri may have dropped their last game against Lille but it was a dead rubber. When it comes to navigating through knockout rounds, few do it better than Milan. Celtic have the speed to trouble Milan's ageing backline but they have no hope of coping with the twin threats of Pirlo and Kaka, when on song. Form will have a large part to play in this game but Celtic may find that they are up against wily veterans who have campaigned for many springs in Europe. Milan are good for atleast another round in Europe this season - they've been lucky that their opponents are Celtic rather than someone more wily and experienced.

Inter are my dark horses and outside bets for the whole damn thing this year. They are balanced, poised and have lost their initial jitters. Valencia are excellent in Europe but seem to be slowly imploding with every passing week. However they have the personnel to be quietly confident going into this tie and if they can hold onto David Villa past January, they may well be fit to cause an upset. Their organisation and experience are their chief threats but it will be Inter who will be looking forward to this tie more than Valencia. Expect a grinding contest decided by a Stankovic header or a Villa penalty.

Arsene Wenger's remarks at the end of the draw may have been taken out of context. When he said the draw was "not an easy one" he did not necessarily mean that they had drawn a tough opponent - step forward Liverpool, who have done just that - he meant that PSV cannot be considered easy pushovers and that there are no easy games at this stage at this level. This time round there were few bunnies, if any, sitting in the pot waiting to be drawn for the group winners - even LOSC Lille may well give United a run for their money - and as such, although PSV can be considered a non heavyweight; they are by no means an easy opponent. Still, Wenger can be safe in the knowledge that PSV are not as muscular in their approach as some of the other group runners-up could be and spend time playing the ball on the ground. I doubt he would have enjoyed going head to head with Inter or Porto, definitely not with Arsenal's unease at set pieces and aerial balls.

Liverpool, 2005 winners, drew the short straw and have the plum tie of Barcelona, themselves winners last year. No one would envy them the task of dethroning the current champions of Europe - however the two glimmers of hope that Kopites can cling to, is that Benitez is a shrewd operator in Europe (2 finals with Valencia, the title with them, a 4-1 upset win over Barcelona in the 1999-2000 season) and that even though Liverpool are inconsistent at times - so are Barca. But, If Iniesta and Deco can continue their heady form while sharing the workload with the ever brilliant Ronaldinho, Liverpool are in big trouble, Gerrard's long range missiles notwithstanding.

Chelsea will meet Porto, winners in 2004. Even though Mourinho coached Porto to the summit 2 years ago, he will have his work cut out as Porot have moved on from then. Tricky winger Quaresma will terrorise Chelsea down the flanks - especially if they insist on playing a solid but narrow defensive midfield. Lucho will tease from distance, Postiga may well turn in a few close range tallies. Having said that, however, I cannot see Porto upsetting Chelski over 2 legs. There may well be some nervous moments on set pieces but Chelsea have too many tricks up their sleeves. They are far too established and settled a machine to come unstuck against Porto. If in the mood Drogba can singlehandedly bludgeon in a few goals against the Portugese leaders.

Man U seem to be on some sort of trail of redemption this season. They have mounted a furious pacesetting challenge domestically, belying their usual slow starts, they've conquered their nemesis from last season in the group stage, Benfica. Now, in Lille, they find themselves up against another one of the teams that ended their European campaign at the group stage last year. Revenge must surely be on their minds. Yes, I'll be honest, Man U are the favorites, but don't count out the plucky French outfit, Odemwingie will be a handful for the United backline, Tavlardis more than a match for Saha, their midfield capable of controlling United's gaping absence in the middle of the park. I guess we'll have to wait and see. If Man U do win, keeping with my theme of redemption, they might well be drawn against Milan next.

Real renew rivalries with Bayern. From 1998 to 2002, 4 of the 5 European Cups were won by these two clubs. So, recent pedigree and history should not be lacking when it comes to motivation. Both have fallen off the summit in recent years. More attacking, fresher upstarts in the German Bundesliga seem to be giving Bayern a run for the title while the heavyweight duopoly in La Liga has shifted back to Barcelona. Real were dressed by Arsenal last year and have stuttered this year. Bayern started very well but have slowed up a little in recent weeks. So expect this to be a stop start game depending on form and finishing. Bastian Schweinsteiger can turn the tie for Bayern along with Roy Makaay. At the same time watch for Ruud or Raul to bundle home some loose balls in the 6 yard box.

The best tie though, of the whole competition and perhaps in all of Europe this season, has to be Roma versus Lyon. Whereas Inter versus Valencia will be more tactical and at times more brutal in the sheer physicality of the tie, the aesthetic brilliance of Lyon versus Roma is hard to match. This will be a game of 2 teams commited to attacking - two teams who believe the only way to win is to score more goals than your opponent. They will go forward at every stage and send balls crossfield searching for ever more attacking options. Lyon should shade this though, if only in that they are more assured, settled and consistent than Roma. The Italians, however are more mercurial and can upset the applecart if De Rossi and Totti are in the mood. Watch for plenty of goals and some audacious shots from distance.

So, off the top of my head at first glance, these are my initial picks:

Chelsea over Porto
Milan over Celtic
Arsenal over PSV
Man U over Lille
Lyon over Roma
Barcelona over Liverpool
Bayern over Real
Inter over Valencia

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Prelude to the Serengeti

Tuesday, 28 November 06, 12:58 PM

Prelude to the Serengeti - Matchday 5 Part 2

Group A

If Mourinho had expected his declaration of taking the match seriously, to give Werder a filip, he was cruelly underestimating the Bundeliga side. Condescension has the habit of pulling the rug out from under your feet the odd time. And so it proved. Not only did Werder burst out of the blocks and claim an early lead that settled the match, Chelsea picked up 2 crucial injuries that leaves them exposed in certain parts of the field against Man U for their decider on the weekend. Mourinho may have wanted Werder to win anyway, but always be careful what you wish for, the cost of defeat in this case proving to be more than it's worth.

Werder may not have the financial power or global appeal of teams from Spain, Italy or England, but are every much a solid outfit. From the experienced defence to the rip roaring attack they are among the most balanced teams in Europe this year. The fact that they play a sparkling brand of football makes them all the more popular. And this win gives them real belief that they can make it through to the next stage. They were menacing from the outset in this game, direct, clinical and trying to overwhelm Chelsea with both men and balls into the final third. I doubt Chelsea would have been able to beat even if they had 'officially' tried. The fact that their progression will be at the expense of Barcelona, is the one touch of sadness that greets the conclusion of this group.

With Barcelona following the script and beating Levski, the game is very much on. This group will have a gripping end come next round. One thing is certain though, whichever of Barcelona or Werder fall out, it is the UEFA Cup's gain and the Champions' League loss.

Group B

Such is the depth of Internazionale this season that Mancini can pretty much name a completely different XI for consecutive matches and still strike fear into the hearts of their opponents. For Inter, it was a case of another cleansheet, another win, another goal by another Argentinian striker. This was the Italian team's third such win on the trot and after a serious series of opening hiccups, they are now easing through to the finishing line. Their early season malaise may well and truly be over and are boning up for the top spot in Group B at just the right time. Inter haven't been overwhelmingly dominant by any estimation. Yet, few people, myself included, will put money on Bayern holding on to the top spot in the Group B come next matchday when they host Inter in the decider for top spot.

Sporting were tenacious again, hustling and bustling for loose balls and trying to thread balls to their lone striker Alecsandro. But Inter were in ominous form, their 4-3-3 rattling up 10 shots on target, if anything the biggest surprise was Inter not adding to their tally. With this defeat Sporting ensured they will not progress but still, they are in prime position to make the UEFA CUP.

If I were a Bayern Munich fan I would be a little troubled. They lack teeth against real opposition and are strangely devoid of a ruthless streak one would expect of a team with their pretensions. They can put away teams struggling with their own demons (Inter, Hamburg, Dortmund) but come a cropper against established sides brandishing some real firepower (Werder, Stuttgart) and struggle against anyone who puts up a resemblance of a fight (Sporting, Spartak). Bayern's midfield invention comes down to the intentions of one Schweinsteiger, their attack completely reliant on the fortunes of their strikeforce of the day, their defence generally absent. Their seems to be lacking a concept of even, consistent all round play that puts paid to their hopes of being a threat in Europe this season. They drew against a superior Spartak side in a result that leaves the door open for Inter and were generally stale for large periods in this game.

Magath has his work cut out to try and stop Inter in their last game.

Group C

Liverpool continue to be a study in contrasts. Good one day, woeful the next. Sparkling one game, stale the following one. Perhaps, Benitez has given up on the marathon that is the domestic league to concentrate on the sprints of the FA Cup and the Champions' League. Whatever the reasoning may be, it clearly works in Europe where 'Pool, still unbeaten, comprehensively wrapped up top spot in the group with a controlled win in an even game against PSV. Admittedly, PSV experimented with a makeshift 4-3-3 featuring the marquee talents of Csaba Feher and Ibrahim Afellay in their starting XI (sic). But they were outfought by the home side led by the the impressive Gerrard - once again restored to his preferred place in the centre of midfield.

I doubt PSV threw the towel in pre-game, being as they were tied at the start with Liverpool on 10 points, but their reasoning behind trying a new formation in a seemingly crunch game in the Champions' League escapes me. They still matched Liverpool for large periods of the match and it was their wayward finishing, if anything, that let them down. Job well done for the Dutch though so far - they will prove tricky opponents for anyone in the second round.

The problem with groups like this (see also Group A) that are decided so early, is that interest in games between the other 2 teams, and later games in general are of minor significance. True, UEFA Cup football may be at stake but that hardly gets the pulse racing as it is more of a consolation prize. Bordeaux finally got some just rewards for their attacking verve in a good 3-1 win over a poor Gala side. One of the few bright spots for the Turkish team for Japanese midfielder Junichi Inamoto who scored a good goal. Japan can in fact take much heart from the performances of Inamoto and Nakamura this week. If they can unearth/develop/import a strong holding midfielder, they may well make the jump from being simply Asian heavyweights to Global middleweights.

It'll be good to see Bordeaux move on to the UEFA cup. Gala meanwhile have to back to the European drawing board.

Group D

Valencia emphatically wrapped things up. This may be only a small resurgence (their game against Real on the weekend will prove that) in their recent slump but it was a good game to go out and win while taking the pressure of their final game. At kickoff they knew they were only 3 points ahead of Roma, who it seemed were on a high after a 7-0 humiliation of Catania the weekend before, and knowing they had to travel to the Stadio Olimpico for what could possibly be the crunch game, took matter into their own hands (Little did they know that Roma would contrive to lose). 2 quick goals either side of the breather, and they were home. For a change Joaquin started on the right wing while the versatile Raul Albiol started in central defence and Miguel Pallardo in the engine room in the middle of the park. Beating Valencia at home is hard enough, coming back form 2 goals down is near impossible. Olympiakos do not have the guile, talent or skill to break through formations like Valencia and their organization, though commendable, it eventually counted for nought. This defeat would not have worried them as much as Shakhtar's win over Roma, a surprise to say the least. That result, more than this put their UEFA Cup participation in doubt. They have to travel to the frigid steppe in their final game and beat Shaktar to progress. Intimidating to say the least.

Roma, should, for all intents and purposes have joined their Spanish counterparts in the last 16. Yet, inexplicably, they managed to somehow lose to a nippy Shakhtar side and now have to at least draw their last game. I'd still not be unduly worried If I were a Roma supporter as they have the tie breaker against Shakhtar. But playing away, in your last game, at the Mestella no less and needing a point to be absolutely sure, is not the ideal closing to a group stage. If Shakhtar do beat Olympiakos, which is entirely possible, and Valencia hold firm at the Mestella, while nicking a goal, thereby denying Roma a win, the Italians could well and truly be headed to the UEFA cup. Their participation in Europe would continue post Christmas, but not at the Nou Camp or Bernebeu but at St James' Park and Steaua stadium in Bucharest. That would be hard luck for a team featuring the talents that Roma have. However as the saying goes, you make your own luck - still, as maddeningly inconsistent as Roma is, they would surely be a welcome addition to the later stages of the Champions' League.

Shakhtar, them of the nouveau-riche Ukrainian pretensions, have set themselves up beautifully for a spot in the last 16. A win over the Greek side could take them into the next round while anything other than a loss would still give them UEFA Cup football - where let's be honest, they would make better opponents.

Continental European football, what's left of it, is and should be all about matching up teams of equal stature and means to provide thrilling even contests. It should not be David versus Goliath goalfests featuring the usual suspects playing musical chairs with the final few places. Shakhtar would be a better match in the UEFA cup, while they would be out of their depth in the round of 16 of the Champions' League. Roma, on the other hand, would better handle the challenges that lie ahead. Keeping that in mind we should not be overtly happy if Shakhtar do make it through. Their qualification would just provide an easy tie for one of the heavyweights while cruelly unbalancing one end of the draw. In the UEFA Cup however they could go very far and as such would fit in better. Additionally, they should last longer in the UEFA cup than in its richer cousin, so the extra matches, providing extra revenue would be another side benefit, in addition to the closer matches that it will bring.

One can only hope then that the chips do fall in place come next round.

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Speaking of next round - I would like to mention that I shall not be writing about it. I will be on vacation, going on safari around an African game park. I doubt there will be much to write about though. Still I hope it's enjoyable, exciting stuff. I, myself, hope the hippos and crocodiles of the Zambezi river keep their end of the bargain. I hope to spot the next Collins Mbesuma though (hint to my destination).

Cheers.

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