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Copa América Prediction: Argentina will narrowly beat Mexico

Wednesday, 11 July 07, 02:42 PM


**This is a prediction, not a match report! As of this writing this game has NOT occurred yet.**


A rematch of one of the hardest fought games of the FIFA World Cup 2006 in Germany, Mexico will be looking to get the best of a slightly altered Argentine team who, under new leadership of Alfie Basile, has had some very strong second halves in this tournament, with 9 of their 13 goals coming after the halftime break.

Mexico on the other hand have also shown flashes of brilliance in this cup, defeating Brasil handily in group play while embarrassing Paraguay by six goals in a shutout -- the largest margin thus far in the tournament.

With both teams looking strong, it is too bad that this match is merely a contention to get into the final instead of to lift the cup, as this match, much like Uruguay v. Brasil last night, will be one for the highlight reels.

Mexico must rely on their defense to disrupt the balance in the Argentine attack, but Argentina are their worst enemies in this regard. Quick passing, deft movement off the ball, and continual motion are the Argentine strengths that enable them to keep their opponents in a constant state of reshifting and regrouping. This allows Argentina to find holes in the defense and make room to take shots.

Luckily for Argentina, practically their entire team is capable of putting the ball in the net, but scorers tonight will include Cambiasso and Riquelme, while the Mexican defense focuses on stopping forwards Lionel Messi and Carlos Tevez.

For Mexico, their lone goal will come off of a set play or possibly a penalty (if Argentine defender Roberto Ayala's luck continues like in the last game).

I think Mexico will score first, late in the first half, with an equaliser in the run of play just before the halftime break. The second half Argentine goal will stand as the game winner, and it will take a wonder goal reminiscent of Maxi's one-turn punt from Germany.

Well, this is all wild speculation of course, but in any event it should be a sight to behold and a game to match the semi-final magic witnessed last night.

Mexico 1 :: 2 Argentina

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Posted by futbolista13 | Comments (1)

Do Mexico want to win more than Argentina?

Wednesday, 11 July 07, 06:10 AM

argentina football association badgeLet me state for the record that I am a lifelong fan of the Argentine brand of football. It is my standing definition of the beautiful game - sly one touch passing, total team effort. Anyone can score, but the goal belongs to the team.

It was just over one year ago that Mexico outplayed Argentina in the World Cup Round of 16 matchup. In fact, Argentina relied upon the heroics of a beautiful Maxi Rodriguez goal, a wonder-goal that was required for any viable conclusion short of a penalty shootout for that game.

And the bitterness remains fresh in the mouths of Mexican fans everywhere, especially as Mexico have a chance once again on the international stage to seek revenge for a game that arguably was rightfully theirs.

I remember vividly that, while the Argentine brand of football looked to confuse the European teams that fell under its might in the group stages, Mexico's defense all but put the Argentine fire out with its suffocating and relentless disruption of the otherwise fluid passing game. This effort, led by Rafael Marquez, was among the single most effective and annoying defenses ever mounted against the beautiful South American style of football.

Mexico will be looking to relive that magic again, and if they are successful, they stand a great chance at besting Argentina this time around.

However that is not the entire story, as Argentina have displayed a resolution and ganas that have given it the distinction of the only 9 point team from group play in the entire tournament, along with margins that make their wins look a lot easier than they actually seemed to be.

The key for Argentina will be to eliminate defensive mistakes, as the Mexican attack will surely be relentless and looking for holes that all too often appear in the Argentine back four. Specifically, Argentina should be particularly careful in their tackling near the box, which has gotten them into plenty of trouble in the past.

With the ball at their feet, Argentina will have to get into open space, open up the field, avoid sideline traps that Mexico are great at, and make sure that their passes are quick and have enough mustard on them to get to their destination without interception, something that Argentina have been less than perfect on in Venezuela so far.

If Riquelme continues his leadership and Messi or Tevez turn out a particularly brilliant effort, then Argentina will have no problem in moving on to face the defending champions in the Copa América.

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